Tuesday, May 22, 2012

Boise-Meridian-Nampa Real Estate, Sales are Brisk!

Well business has been booming, I have had buyers buying, and listing homes that are quickly selling. On many of the low to moderate priced homes multiple offers situations have become the norm. A couple of examples, I have a new listing in Nampa at $89,900, I have three offers to present to the seller tomorrow and will likely have at least one more prior to that. (I have had 4 agents call about this morning.)

On Friday I wrote an offer for some folks on a home in Meridian, $240,000. It is a short sale  and received at least two other offers besides ours.  Ours was accepted and now we proceed down that path.

I am including a national story about sales being up and comparing the headlines and the cautionary notes and tomorrow I will be putting a local story of Ada County's sales and stats. My last post highlighted Boise as one of the 10 top turn around cities in the nation. Please give me a call if you are looking to buy of sell, I can help!  208-602-0055  or Roger@lowesflatfee.com

We believe the housing market is recovering. We believe that sales will be robust through the rest of the year. However, we also believe that the increase in demand will not impact prices in a big way as we think there will also be an increase in the supply of homes coming to the market. This increase in supply will offset the increase in demand. The increase in supply will be fueled by two categories of inventory:

  1. Foreclosures entering the market as a result of the National Mortgage Settlement

  2. Pent up supply of homeowners who have been unable to sell their homes over the last several years


There have been several recent headlines making strong statements about home values in the country. We must be sure to read the ENTIRE report – not just the headlines. Here are four headlines and the portion of the report that reflects the caution in their ‘cautious optimism’.

HEADLINE:


LPS Home Price Index Shows U.S. Home Price Increase of 0.2 Percent in February; Early Data Suggests Further Increase of 0.3 Percent is Likely During March

CAUTION:


“Reasons for caution are clear, as we’ve been here before. Non-seasonally adjusted prices increased for a few months in early 2009, 2010 and 2011 – trends that all ended by summer, after which all the gains – and then some – were lost. As is true this month, those temporary increases were on low sales volumes – about 30 percent lower than at any point since 1998. Furthermore, the inventory of distressed homes remains high, which will continue to put a drag on prices.”

HEADLINE:


Foreclosure hotspots show signs of housing turnaround

CAUTION:


“However, much will depend on the continued health of our economy, specifically job rates, and how lenders will release their foreclosure inventories now that the 49 state AG Agreement has been signed.”

HEADLINE:


Fiserv Expects Home Prices to Stabilize

CAUTION:


“On the other hand, nearly one-half of the metro areas, or 191, saw prices decrease by more than 2 percent, including double-digit losses in Atlanta (-12.8 percent), Reno, Nevada (-10.8 percent), and Tucson, Arizona (-10 percent).

In the fourth quarter of 2011, the average price of a U.S. single-family home fell four percent from the year-ago period, and Fiserv Case-Shiller projects a further decline of 0.8 percent by the end of 2012.”

HEADLINE:


Home Prices in March Show Monthly Gain: CoreLogic

CAUTION:


“Even with price gains above 5 percent for leading states and CBSAs, Capital Economics said in response to the CoreLogic report that over the year, prices are more likely to stabilize rather than make a dramatic climb.

“There are fears in some quarters, triggered by recent disappointing GDP and payrolls data, of a sharp slowdown in economic growth which could derail the fledgling improvement in the housing market,” said Paul Diggle, property economist for Capital Economics.”

 

No comments:

Post a Comment